Friday’s Pick was…
8.00 Newcastle : Star Cracker @ 6/1 BOG 2nd at 4/1 (Chased leaders, ridden over 1f out, went 2nd inside final furlong, no impression on winner)
Saturday’s pick runs in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Deep Intrigue @ 10/3 BOG
…in the 6-runner Spring Cup Stakes (Listed) for 3yo’s over 7f on polytrack, worth £25520 to the winner…
This 3yr old colt is in excellent form winning 4 of his last 5 outings and has a record of 1611 on the A/W, including a visit on his only previous run here.
To date he is…
- 3/4 at odds of 2/1 and bigger
- 3/4 as a non-fav
- 2/3 on Poly
- 2/3 going left handed
- 2/2 within 7-14 days of his last run
- 2/2 under today’s jockey PJ McDonald
Trainer Mark Johnston’s horse are in good nick, winning 3 from 9 in the past week and slightly more long term are 9/21 (42.9% SR) over the last fortnight and 11/35 (31.4%) over the past month.
Whilst here on the Lingfield polytrack, MJ’s charges are 41/141 (29.1% SR) for 112.6pts (+79.9% ROI) since the start of 2017, including…
- males : 29/94 (30.9%) for 48.3pts (+51.4%)
- Feb/March : 20/58 (34.5%) for 40.66pts (+70.01%)
- non-hcps : 15./54 (27.8%) for 37pts (+68.6%)
- over 7f : 6/20 (30%) for 40.6pts (+203.1%)
- those with 1 previous course win : 6/15 (40%) for 10.7pts (+71%)
- and with PJ McDonald in the saddle : 4/9 (44.4%) for 7.07pts (+78.6%)
PJ comes here just for this one ride today, but has a good record here especially over shorter trips at the sharp end of the market with 5 winners from 9 (55.6% SR) for 11.1pts (+123.3% ROI) over 6f-1m at Evens to 11/2 since the start of 2017.
And finally, in that same 2017-19 time frame, when PJ has pitched up at a track for just one ride, he’s 16 from 52 (30.8% SR) for 48.8pts (+93.9% ROI) when sent off at 10/1 or shorter, from which…
- Mark Johnston horses are 5/15 (33.3%) for 8.9pts (+59.2%)
- here at Lingfield : 2/6 (33.3%) for 3pts (+50%)
- and on Mark Johnston horses here at Lingfield : 2/3 (66.6%) for 6pts (+200%)
…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Deep Intrigue @ 10/3 BOG which was available from Betfair & Paddy Power at 6.35pm on Friday evening. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…
Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!
REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!