Stat of the Day, 14th March 2019

Wednesday’s pick was…

4.40 Kempton : Hanakotoba @ 3/1 BOG non-runner 

Thursday’s pick runs in the…

8.00 Southwell :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


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Tynecastle Park 7/2 BOG

…in a 9-runner, Class 6, A/W Handicap for 4yo+ over 2m½f on Fibresand worth £3105 to the winner…


This 6 yr old gelding should have no issues with getting this trip today, as not only has he completed nine hurdle races at distances of 2m to 3m2f, he also has a form line reading 2212 over this very course and distance.

He’s by Sea The Stars, whose offspring are 80/335 (23.9% SR) for 186.5pts (+55.7% ROI) on the all-weather since the start of 2016, including 6 from 22 (27.3%) for 5.11pts (+23.2%) here at Southwell.

Jockey Darragh Keenan takes the ride today, aiming to build upon his already decent 6/25 (24% SR) record on this track that has generated profits of 56.1pts at a very attractive ROI of some 224.2% and those rides include…

  • 3/12 (25%) for 20.62pts (+171.8%) riding for Robert Eddery
  • 3/4 (75%) for 28.62pts (+715.5%) at trips of 1m6f and beyond
  • 3/4 (75%) for 28.62pts (+715.5%) for Robert at 1m6f and beyond

Those three winners above actually represent all of Robert’s winners at this track, that said Darragh has ridden all bar 3 of Robert’s 13 runners here over the last 200 days finishing 1122910022 for a record reading 3/10 (30% SR) for 22.62pts (+226.2% ROI) including a win and a runner-up finish on today’s runner Tynecastle Park

…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Tynecastle Park 7/2 BOG which was widely available at 6.25pm on Wednesday evening, although Bet365 were offering 4/1 BOG. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…

…click here for the betting on the 8.00 Southwell

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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