Stat of the Day, 8th April 2019

Saturday’s pick was…

8.00 Wolverhampton: Zapper Cass @ 5/1 BOG 4th at 7/2 (In touch, headway to chase leaders over 2f out, soon driven to challenge, kept on well towards finish)

Monday’s pick runs in the…

3.30 Redcar:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


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Sameem @ 5/1 BOG

…in an 10-runner, Class 4 Handicap for 3yo over 1m2f on Good to firm worth £5531 to the winner…


James Tate’s three-year-old New Approach colt is making his handicap debut in this contest. The trainer excels with handicap debutants and has won with 12 of the 36 he’s saddled in the past year (33.33%, +15.19, A/E 1.85).

Indeed, in the last four months, Tate’s form with first time handicap runners reads 6112111278611.

Tate is in excellent form recently, too, having scored with four of the eleven runners he’s had in the past fortnight (36.36%, +7.63, A/E 1.52). Two more have made the frame in that time.

A winner on his previous start by no less than six lengths, staying on over 7 1/2 furlongs at Beverley, the step up in trip looks ideal for Sameem, but it is the switch to handicaps that catches the eye. Tate is three-from-five in the past year with such horses when they won their last start (60%, +5.33, A/E 1.95)…

…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Sameem 5/1 BOG which was available from Betfair & Paddy Power at 6.35pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…

…click here for the betting on the 3.30 Redcar

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

P.P.S. I’m out of the country for most of April, but SotD will still be here every day, albeit in slightly different circumstances, click here for the end of March update which explains the plan in fuller detail!

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