Stat of the Day, 11th April 2019

Wednesday”s pick was…

3.25 Lingfield : Shanghai Grace @ 11/4 BOG 5th at 11/4 (Held up in touch on inside, pushed along when switched left and squeezed through 1f out, soon not clear run on inside and switched right, couldn’t recover)

Thursday’s pick runs in the…

5.05 Wetherby :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Fingerontheswitch @ 5/2 BOG

…in a 10-runner, Class 3, Handicap Chase for 5yo+ over 3m½f on Good ground worth £7408 to the winner… 

Why?

This 9 yr old gelding was a course and distance winner here two starts ago and wasn’t at all disgraced in finishing third of sixteen in a Listed contest last time out some 153 days back.

He is trained by Neil Mulholland, whose runners are 12 from 37 (32.4% SR) for 12.1pts (+32.7% ROI) here at Wetherby since the start of 2015 and these include of relevance today…

  • males : 11/30 (36.7%) for 14.7pts (+48.9%)
  • handicaps : 7/21 (33.3%) for 16.4pts (+78.1%)
  • on Good ground : 5/16 (31.25%) for 4.07pts (+25.4%)
  • at odds of 5/6 to 7/2 : 9/13 (69.2%) for 15.4pts (+118.8%)
  • 2nd or 3rd LTO : 5/12 (41.7%) for 9.36pts (+78%)
  • chasers : 6/11 (54.6%) for 13.6pts (+123.7%) all in hcps
  • over trips of 3m and beyond : 5/9 (55.6%) for 11.2pts (+124.2%)
  • ridden by Tom Scudamore : 3/6 (50%) for 1.69pts (+28.2%)

…all pointing to… a 1pt win bet on Fingerontheswitch @ 5/2 BOG which was widely available at 9.25pm on Wednesday (4.25pm here), although there is an extra quarter point available with Hills. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…

…click here for the betting on the 5.05 Wetherby

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

P.P.S. I’m out of the country for most of April, but SotD will still be here every day, albeit in slightly different circumstances, click here for the end of March update which explains the plan in fuller detail!

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