Stat of the Day, 30th April 2019

Monday’s pick was…

7.30 Windsor : Persian Sun @ 5/2 BOG 5th at 11/2 (tracked leader, pushed along to challenge 3f out, ridden into narrow lead over 1f out, headed entering final furlong, weakened final 100 yards)

Tuesday’s pick runs in the…

7.40 Newcastle :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


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Blindingly @ 5/1 BOG

…in a 10-runner, Class 4 Flat Handicap for 4yo+ over 1m on standard ground worth £5531 to the winner…


There is no shortage of ins to today’s stat selection. But the one we’ll major on is the trainer/jockey combination. Ben Haslam is one of those trainers who was going nowhere fast for a number of years before, for one reason or another, picking up the thread. These days he’s a handler to keep on side, and here’s why:

TJ Combo: Haslam’s combination with Andrew ‘Midge’ Mullen has been electric in the past year. Here at Newcastle, they’ve combined 33 times during those 12 months, and bagged 11 winners (33%, +58.58, A/E 2.02)

1st Handicap Start: When running a horse in a handicap for the first time in the past two years, Haslam is 2/19 (6 places) for +26.00 (A/E 1.28). One of the two winners was here.

Overall Course form: Overall that the track, Haslam has had 15 winners from 84 starters (17.86, +94.08, A/E 1.46)

That’s enough to give us…

… a 1pt win bet on Blindingly @ 5/1 BOG which was available with betfair and Paddy at 8.30pm on Monday (9/2 widely available). To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…

click here for the betting on the 7.40 Newcastle

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

P.P.S. I’m out of the country for most of April, but SotD will still be here every day, albeit in slightly different circumstances, click here for the end of March update which explains the plan in fuller detail!

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