Stat of the Day, 12th June 2019

Tuesday’s pick was…

4.45 Salisbury : Singing The Blues @ 7/2 BOG 2nd at 15/8 (Prominent, ridden to lead over 1f out, hard pressed, stayed on, but headed at post and beaten by a short head)

Wednesday’s pick runs in the…

5.50 Kempton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Kingston Kurrajong @ 7/2 BOG

…in an 11-runner, Class 5, A/W Apprentice Handicap for 4yo+ over 1m on Standard To Slow Polytrack worth £3752 to the winner…

Why?

This 6 yr old gelding won this race last year off a mark 4lbs lower than today and although he has only 4 career wins to his name…

  • 3 were at 8/8.5 furlongs
  • 2 were for trainer William Knight (more on him very shortly)
  • 2 were here at Kempton
  • 2 were over course and distance
  • 2 were at Class 5
  • and 2 were in June

Trainer William Knight is 3 from 8 so far this month, whilst longer-term here at Kempton, his A/W handicappers are 27 from 167 (16.2% SR) for 39.1pts (+23.4% ROI) since the start of 2015, from which…

  • males are 27/148 (18.2%) for 58.1pts (+39.3%)
  • at Class 4/5 : 20/83 (24.1%) for 50.2pts (+60.5%)
  • at Evens to 11/2 : 19/53 (35.9%) for 26pts (+49%)
  • at 11-45 dslr : 18/108 (16.7%) for 59.4pts (+55%)
  • and in May/June : 5/26 (19.2%) for 29.7pts (+114.4%)

…and if you wanted a William Knight / Kempton A/W composite angle, you could back his male Class 4-6 runners sent off at 8/1 and shorter within 25 days of their last run for 13 winners from 33 (39.4% SR) and 27.8pts (+84.2% ROI) profit and these include 4 from 9 at this 1m C&D  and also 2 winners from 4 so far this year…

…steering us towards… a 1pt win bet on Kingston Kurrajong @ 7/2 BOG which was available from Bet365, Betfair, Hills & Paddy Power at 6.20pm on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…

click here for the betting on the 5.50 Kempton

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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