Stat of the Day, 18th June 2019

Monday’s pick was…

8.40 Windsor : Oydis @ 11/4 BOG WON at 7/4 (Soon prominent, led 8f out, headed over 6f out, stayed prominent, strong challenge final furlong, led towards finish)

Tuesday’s pick runs in the…

7.50 Brighton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Oliver Hardy @ 4/1 or 7/2 BOG

…in an 11-runner, Class 6 Flat Handicap for 3yo over 1m4f on Good ground worth £3105 to the winner…

Why?…

This 3 yr old colt was successful last time out, 15 days ago, here at Brighton over 1m2f under today’s jockey Rossa Ryan in a win that took the rider’s record in handicaps at this venue to 8 from 29 (27.6% SR) for 25.8pts (+89%) since the start of last season and those include…

• 5 wins from 8 (62.5%) for 30.5pts (+381.7%) since losing his claim
• 5/15 (33.3%) for 23.5pts (+156.9%) on male runners
• 5/19 (26.3%) for 22.4pts (+117.6%) at Class 6
• 4/8 (50%) for 16.8pts (+210%) in June
• and 4/10 (40%) for 14.77pts (+147.7%) on 3 yr olds

And whilst those 29 rides only include one for trainer Paul Cole (Oliver Hardy‘s LTO win, of course), Rossa is 3 from 9 (33.3% SR) for 36.53pts (+405.9% ROI) on Paul’s handicappers since the start of 2018.

Meanwhile Paul Cole himself is no slouch at this track, with decent returns for a long number of years now, but we’ll stick to more relevant/recent results to analyse, as his runners sent off here at 8/1 or shorter are 11 from 29 (37.9% SR) for 24.3pts (+83.8% ROI) over the last 5 (inc. this one) seasons, from which…

• males are 10/25 (40%) for 22.7pts (+90.8%)
• 2-4 yr olds are 9/21 (42.9%) for 24.1pts (+114.7%)
• those competing for less than £4,000 are 7/18 (38.9%) for 19.7pts (+109.3%)
• at Class 6 : 2/4 950%) for 9pts (+225%)
• and in June : 2/5 (40%) for 6.94pts (+138.7%)

…whilst 2-4 yr old males competing for less than £4k are 5 from 11 (45.5% SR) for 18.4pts (+167.6% ROI) including, of course, Oliver Hardy‘s win last time out…

…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Oliver Hardy @ 4/1 or 7/2 BOG as offered by Bet365 and SkyBet respectively at 6.20pm on Monday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…

…click here for the betting on the 7.50 Brighton

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!