Sat TV Trends: 6th July 2019

The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 8th July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always we’ve got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

13.50Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

17/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
16/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Favourites placed
13/17 – Had won at least 3 times before
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Had won at Sandown before
5/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
8 of the last 13 winners were Irish bred
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)

14.25 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
15/17 – Carried 8-8 or more
15/17 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
15/17 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
13/17 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
10/17 – Had run at Sandown before
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/17 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (4) last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
10 of the last 13 winners came from stall 8 or lower

15.00 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

16/16 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
15/16 – Had never run at Sandown before
14/16 – Had won over 7f or further before
13/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
9/16 – Favourites that finished in the top three
4/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 13 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6

 

15.35 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends

17/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
13/17 – Won by a previous Group One winner
13/17 – Placed favourites
12/17 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/17 – Placed in their last race
11/17 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
8/17 – Favourites that won
5/17 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
5/17 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4 of the last 12 winners won last time out
2 of the last 10 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 9/2

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12 of out the last 14 winners had run in the previous 30 days
10 out of the last 14 winners were Group 1 winners
13 of the last 14 winners came from the first four in the betting
12 out of the last 14 winners had won over 1m 2f or further

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts

Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995 & 2016
Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 7 runnings

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)


14.05 –
bet365 Handicap Cl3 1m2f95y ITV

2 previous runnings
Mark Johnston trained the winner in 2018
John Gosden trained the winner in 2017

14.40 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

14/17 – Had won at least at Listed class before
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/17 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Had won between 1-3 times before
10/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
6/17 – Trained by John Gosden
5/17 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/17 – Trained by David Elsworth
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The last 6 runnings have been won by a 4 year-old
Horseplay won the race 12 months ago (11/4)

Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

15.15 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

Key Old Newton Cup Betting Trends

15/17 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
14/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Won no more than 5 times before
13/17 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
12/17 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/17 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
11/17 – Aged 4 years-old
11/17 – Had won at least 3 times before
11/17 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/17 – Irish or USA bred
9/17 – Raced within the last 7 days
9/17 – Carried 8-11 or less
7/17 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
6/17 – Had won a race at Haydock before
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 12/1

 

 

 

 

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