Stat of the Day, 6th July 2019

Friday’s pick was…

6.00 Chelmsford : Tarseekh @ 4/1 BOG 2nd at 5/1 (Led and set strong pace, ridden over 1f out, headed and no extra well inside final furlong)

Saturday’s pick runs in the…

4.10 Sandown :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Magical Wish @ 3/1 BOG

…in a 10-runner, Class 3, Flat Handicap for 3yo over 7f on Good To Firm worth £9338 to the winner…

Why?

This 3 yr old colt was a very decent third in a big-field (22 ran!) Class 2 handicap at York last time out, three weeks ago. He came from last t0 just 2 lengths off the winner in the closing stages of that 6f contest and was flying at the finish.

Positives today in comparison to that run, include a drop in class, a step back up to 7f (trip he won at 3 starts ago) and the booking of Ryan Moore in the saddle, who has a good record here at Sandown.

His trainer Richard Hannon also does well here, saddling up of 28 winners from 183 (15.3% SR) for 35.5pts (+20% ROI) profit over the last four seasons and these contain of relevance today…

  • 14/89 (15.7%) for 28.4pts (+31.9%) from 3 yr olds
  • 9/51 (17.7%) for 17.7pts (+34.7%) over this 7f course and distance
  • 8/32 (25%) for 35.5pts (+111%) from those beaten by a neck to 2 lengths LTO
  • 8/52 (15.4%) for 21.9pts (+42.1%) in July
  • 7/24 (29.2%) for 12.5pts (+52.2%) ridden by Ryan Moore
  • 6/34 (17.6%) for 10.55pts (+31%) placed 2nd or 3rd LTO
  • and 5/27 (18.5%) for 13.2pts (+48.7%) at Class 3

…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Magical Wish @ 3/1 BOG as offered by more than half a dozen firms at 7.25pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…

click here for the betting on the 4.10 Sandown

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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