Saturday’s pick was…
2.45 Market Rasen : Global Tour @ 3/1 BOG non-runner
Monday’s pick runs in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Hard Solution @ 3/1 BOG
…in an 11-runner, Class 6, Flat Handicap for 3yo over 5f on Good ground worth £2782 to the winner…
This 3 yr old gelding has finished 2113 in his last four starts, with both wins coming at Class 6 and the two defeats at Class 5 and he now drops back in class again.
His trainer David O’Meara has enjoyed consistent success at this venue, notching up 43 winners from 239 (18% SR) handicappers here over the past 8 seasons, generating level stakes profits of 45.2pts at an ROI of 18.9% and these 239 runners include of relevance today…
- 37/131 (28.2%) for 55.6pts (+42.5%) at odds of 7/4 to 15/2
- 36/187 (19.25%) for 61.8pts (+33%) after a break of 4-30 days
- 17/60 (28.3%) for 67.7pts (+112.8%) dropping down a class
- 16/59 (27.1%) for 17.9pts (+30.3%) finished 2nd or 3rd LTO
- 10/51 (19.6%) for 27.3pts (+53.5%) over the last two seasons
- 8/29 (27.6%) for 22.3pts (+76.9%) ridden by David Nolan
- 7/30 (23.3%) for 36.9pts (+123%) over this 5f C&D
- and 5/27 (18.5%) for 14.75pts (+54.6%) at Class 6
…whilst simply backing class droppers reappearing 4-45 days after their last run and sent off at 7/4 to 15/2 over the last five seasons would give you 11 winners from 26 (42.3% SR) for 35.6pts (+136.8% ROI), including 3 from 6 under David Nolan…
…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Hard Solution @ 3/1 BOG as was widely available at 5.25pm on Sunday, although Bet365 were offering slightly more. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…
Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!
REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!