Monday’s pick was…
2.30 Ayr : Hard Solution @ 3/1 BOG 3rd at 7/2 (Held up, effort when no room from over 2f out to inside final furlong, kept on last 100yds, nearest finish)
Tuesday’s pick runs in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Cantiniere @ 5/1 BOG
…in a 10-runner, Class 4, Flat Handicap for 3yo+ over 1m on Standard ground worth £5693 to the winner…
Cantiniere is a Godolphin runner having her second start in a UK handicap. She’s trained by Saeed bin Suroor, who is in excellent form at the moment. Indeed his form reads:
Last 14 days: 5 wins, 3 more places from 18 runners (28% win, +0.76, A/E 1.21, IV 2.49 – 2.5 times as likely to have a winner than the norm)
Last 30 days: 14 wins, 6 more places from 44 runners (32% win, +18.18, A/E 1.3, IV 2.94)
bin Suroor also has a 30.57% five year win record at the track.
With second time handicap starters (this filly strictly isn’t, but she had an abortive effort in Meydan), he is 14/56 (25%)
Hayley Turner gets the ride and the pairing have an excellent record together. In the last year, they’ve won 7 from 21 (33%, 6 more placed) when teaming up (+7.87, A/E 1.06, IV 3.2).
Cantiniere’s sire, War Front, is a bit of an all weather, erm, stud. He’s got a 20% win record in the last two years on the artificial surfaces (40 from 200).
Positive stats for trainer, jockey and sire…
…give us… a 1pt win bet on Cantiniere @ 5/1 BOG as was available at 6.00pm on Monday with Bet365 were offering slightly more. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…
Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!
REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!