Stat of the Day, 29th July 2019

Saturday’s pick was…

3.10 Newmarket : Gabrial The Saint @ 7/1 BOG 2nd at 4/1 (Prominent, driven and no impression on winner from over 1f out, kept on well to hold onto 2nd)

Monday’s pick runs in the…

2.30 Ayr :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


House Deposit @ 10/3 BOG

…in a 12-runner, Class 6, Flat Handicap for 3yo+ over 6f on good to soft ground worth £2782 to the winner…

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A frustrating / disappointing turn in the chair for yours truly (Matt), with placed efforts the last couple of days not being the required winner. One more spin for me before Chris returns from his holiday, and it is Roger Fell who provides the ballast behind the bet.

Roger has a fine record at this course:

– 6/28 in the past year (+4.01, A/E 1.24, IV 2.12)
– 10/ 51 in the past five years (+5.26, A/E 1.27, IV 1.79)

Fell’s record in sprint handicaps up to six furlongs in the last two years is:

– 51/350 (+87.62, A/E 1.05, !V 1.62)

And his record running horses back within a week (last two years) is:

– 39/181 (+47.56, A/E 1.37, IV 1.49)

Finally, when teaming up with Ben Curtis – a jockey in super form – their two year record is:

– 26/127 (+26.51, A/E 1.2, IV 1.97)

House Deposit returns to the track four days after running in Class 4 company. His last run in Class 6 was six starts ago, which coincided with his last win. Indeed, in six furlong Class 6 handicaps he’s unbeaten in two lifetime. Those were both on soft ground. The going is currently good to soft, soft in places with more rain forecast…

…giving us… a 1pt win bet on House Deposit @ 10/3 BOG as was available at 6pm on Sunday with Skybet, Coral, Betfair, Paddy, Ladbrokes and BetVictor. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…

click here for the betting on the 2.30 Ayr

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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