Stat of the Day, 7th August 2019

Tuesday’s pick was…

4.55 Newbury : Space Ace @ 4/1 BOG  7th at 11/2 (In touch, ridden 2f out, weakened final furlong)

Wednesday’s pick runs in the…

5.50 Pontefract :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

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Highly Sprung @ 6/1 BOG

…in a 12-runner, Class 4, Flat Handicap for 3yo+ over 6f on Good to Soft ground worth £5,208 to the winner…

Why?

This 6 yr old gelding has two wins and two places from his last six outings, culminating in a course and distance win last time out, 10 days ago under today’s jockey Harrison Shaw.

He has actually won 5 times here from 13, making the frame on three further occasions with an excellent 5 wins, 2 places from 11 over course and distance.

His trainer Les Eyre has 17 winners from 64 (26.6% SR) for 27.1pts (+42.3% ROI) in handicaps since the start of 2016 with horses turned back out within a fortnight of a top 3 finish LTO, from which…

  • 16/43 (37.2%) for 46.3pts (+107.6%) at odds of 6/4 to 15/2
  • 14/56 (25%) for 26.6pts (+47.5%) on the Flat
  • 14/39 (35.9%) for 34.4pts (+88.2%) within 10 days of their last run
  • 9/25 (36%) for 21pts (+84%) over 5-6 furlongs
  • 6/16 (37.5%) for 19.78pts (+123.6%) in August/September
  • 6/15 (40%) for 11.8pts (+78.5%) at Class 4
  • 3/8 (37.5%) for 12.6pts (+15.7%) in August
  • and 2/7 (28.6%) for 5.94pts (+84.9%) here at Pontefract…

…whilst those racing over 5-6 furlongs on the Flat at odds of 6/4 to 15/2 within 10 days of their last run are 5/10 (50% SR) for 17.88pts (178.8% ROI)…

…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Highly Sprung @ 6/1 BOG as offered by BetVictor & Hills at 6.35pm on Tuesday with plenty of 11/2 BOG  knocking about. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…

click here for the betting on the 5.50 Pontefract

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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