Wednesday’s pick was…
3.30 Beverley : Archie Perkins @ 4/1 BOG 2nd at 3/1 (Tracked leaders, effort when not much room inside final 2f, ridden 1f out, soon every chance, kept on, held towards finish)
Thursday’s pick runs in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Visionara @ 9/2 or 4/1 BOG
…in a 9-runner, Class 5, A/W Handicap for 3yo over 7f on Polytrack worth £3,429 to the winner…
A lightly raced 3 yr old filly makes her handicap debut on what will be only her fourth outing to date, the latest of which was a runner-up finish when beaten by just half a length at Chelmsford in a higher grade twelve days ago.
Her trainer, Simon Crisford’s runners are 12 from 31 here on the polytrack at Lingfield when sent off at odds of 5/4 to 9/2 (should be there today) with that excellent 38.7% strike rate generating 19.4pts profit at a more than acceptable 62.6% ROI, from which…
- Class 5 runners are 8/17 (47.1%) for 14.17pts (+83.4%)
- handicappers are 7/17 (41.2%) for 15.82pts (+93.1%)
- 3 yr olds are 6/15 (40%) for 11.56pts (+77.1%)
- whilst those rested for less than 3 weeks are 4/10 (40%) for 8.26pts (+82.6%)
And as today is Visionara’s handicap debut, it’s worth knowing/noting that Mr Crisford’s handicap debutants sent off shorter than 10/1 are 26/96 (27.1% SR) for 28.4pts (+29.6% ROI) and these include…
- 16/54 (29.6%) for 31.31pts (+58%) who were beaten LTO
- 12/39 (30.8%) for 26.47pts (+67.9%) on the A/W
- 9/20 (45%) for 27.45pts (+137.3%) over 7f
- 7/29 (24.1%) for 11.22pts (+38.7%) at Class 5
- 3/9 (33.3%) for 1.93pts (+21.5%) in August
- 2/6 (33.3%) for 4.48pts (+74.7%) here at Lingfield
…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Visionara @ 9/2 or 4/1 BOG as was available in several places (Bet365 had the best price) at 6.05pm on Wednesday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…
Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!
REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!