Stat of the Day, 10th September 2019

Monday’s pick was…

3.50 Brighton : Long Call @ 4/1 BOG 3rd at 9/4 (Slowly away in rear, pushed along over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, stayed on inside final furlong, nearest finish)

Tueday’s pick runs in the…

4.00 Catterick :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

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B Fifty Two @ 4/1 non-BOG until morning

…in a 12-runner, Class 6, Flat Handicap for 3yo+ over 6f on Good to Firm ground worth £3,105 to the winner…

Why?

This “boy” might be 10 yrs old now, so he’s probably more of an “old lad”, but recent events have suggested there’s still plenty of life left in him yet. He has finished in the first three home in each of his last six starts, winning twice (inc LTO 7 days over over this course and distance under today’s jockey) and suffering two very narrow defeats along the way.

He’s only up 2lbs for his latest effort here, but does drop down a class at a venue he likes. He has certainly been around the block a few times, but he’s not averse to picking prize money up, having made the frame in 25 of 83 (30%) of his starts on the Flat : a decent return at this level and includes 9 winners (10.84% SR).

Of note amongst his 9 wins and 16 further places are…

  • 8 + 14 within 30 days of his last run and 6 + 14 in handicaps
  • 6 + 13 with a tongue tie and 6 + 3 going left handed
  • 4 + 10 over a 6f trip and 4 + 1 at odds of 4/1 and shorter
  • 2 + 6 under jockey Jane Elliott and 2 + 3 here at Catterick
  • and 2 + 3 over course and distance

The above-mentioned jockey Jane Elliott doesn’t get too many rides to be honest, but she has done well here at this track winning 5 of 24 (20.8% SR) for 16.5pts (+68.7% ROI) profit, including…

  • 5/13 (38.5%) for 27.5pts (+211.5%) at odds of 10/1 and shorter
  • 4/20 (20%) for 15.7pts (+78.5%) in handicaps
  • 4/15 (26.7%) for 18.6pts (+124%) at Class 6
  • 3/10 (30%) for 20.24 (+202.4%) over this 6f C&D
  • and 2/4 (50%) for 6.26pts (+156.4%) on Good to Firm ground

…whilst in Class 6 handicaps at 10/1 and shorter, Jane is 3/6 (50% SR) for 22.8pts (+380% ROI) here at Catterick, including 2/4 over this 6f C&D and 1/1 on Good to Firm.

And finally, as this horse was a winner LTO just a week ago, you might (or might not, of course) be interested to know that today’s trainer Marjorie Fife is 7 from 31 (22.6% SR) for 34.1pts (+110.1% ROI) in Flat handicaps over the last four seasons with LTO winners turned back out after less than three weeks rest and these runners include…

  • 6/17 (35.3%) for 43.5pts (+256.1%) during July to September
  • 5/15 (33.3%) for 7.93pts (+52.8%) at odds of 5/1 and shorter
  • and 3/9 (33.3%) for 39.2pts (+435.6%) over a 6f trip…

…giving us… a 1pt win bet on B Fifty Two @ 4/1 non-BOG until morning as was available from Betfair/Paddy Power at 6.15pm on Monday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…

click here for the betting on the 4.00 Catterick

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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