Sat TV Trends: 28th Sept 2019

The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two competitive handicaps  – as always we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV4

17/17 – Had won one or two races before
16/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Had won over 7f or further before
16/17 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
15/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/17 – Either US or Irish bred
12/17 – Foaled in Feb or March
11/17 – Had only won over 7f before
9/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by John Gosden
4/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner 5 times
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

 

2.25 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV4

17/17 – Finished in the top two last time out
17/17 – Had won over 6f before
15/17 – Foaled in Feb or March
15/17 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
15/17 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had 3 or more previous runs
12/17 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
12/17 – Won last time out
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
9/17 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
8/17 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/17 – Winners drawn in stall 6
2/17 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/17 – Trained by the Hannon yard
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (last 3 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Brian Meehan
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

3.00 – Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV

16/16 – Won over 6f previously
15/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/16 – Won their last race
14/16 – Won at least twice previously
13/16 – Had run 3 or more times previously
13/16 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
12/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
12/16 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
5/16 – Ran at Deauville last time out
5/16 – Favourites that won
5/16 – Won by an Irish-based stable
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/16 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011, 2017 & 2018

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3.40 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

17/17 – Aged 6 or younger
16/17 – Won 3 or more times in their career
14/17 – Carried 9-5 or less
13/17 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
13/17 – Won from a double-figure stall
13/17 – Unplaced favourites
13/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/17 – Finished 5th or better last time out
11/17 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/17 – Rated between 90-100
12/17 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
9/17 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden
3/17 – Won their last race
11 of the last 13 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 21/1

 


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Download The App at Virgin Bet Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV4

11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
9/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/12 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
7/12 – Irish bred winners
5/12 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Tom Dascombe
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

3.15 – Virgin Bet Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
12/12 – Had won over 5f before
11/12 – Aged 6 or younger
10/12 – Came from stalls 7-11 (inc)
9/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/12 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
9/12 – Had won between 2-4 times before
8/12 – Favourites placed
7/12 – Rated between 92-96
7/12 – Had raced at Haydock before
7/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/12 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/12 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

 

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