Stat of the Day, 1st October 2019

Monday’s pick was…

2.00 Bath : Colonel Whitehead @ 4/1  10th at 7/2 (Chased leaders, weakened inside final 2f)

Tuesday’s pick runs in the…

2.20 Ayr :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Your first 30 days for just £1

Tai Sing Yeh @ 4/1 BOG 

…in a 7-runner (was 8), Class 5, Flat Handicap for 3yo+ over 6f on Soft ground worth £3,623 to the winner…

Why?

Well, I’m going to keep this short and hopefully sweet…

This Irish 5 yr old gelding has won on both his last two trips across the sea to the UK, which were incidentally his only two previous runs at this venue. Both were over today’s course and distance and both were his only two UK starts for trainer JF Levins.

JF Levins’ own record is good here at Ayr with 5 winners from 15 to date, but he has really had a good year this year with results reading 11411, all from male handicappers with the resultant 80% strike rate yielding 23.78pts profit at an ROI of some 475.6%, including…

  • 4 from 4 for 24.78pts (+619.5%) using a jockey claiming 3lbs
  • 3 from 3 for 18.59pts (+619.7%) over this 6f C&D
  • 3 from 3 for 18.59pts (+619.7%) with 5 yr olds
  • and 1 from 1 for 6.46pts (+646%) at Class 5

I’m aware that the yard also runs Eleuthera in the same race, but he doesn’t tick all the above boxes and wouldn’t be as strong a pick in my opinion…

…hence me suggesting… a 1pt win bet on Tai Sing Yeh @ 4/1 BOG  as was available from BetVictor at 5.50pm on Monday, whilst SkyBet, Betfair & Paddy Power were offering the same, but non-BOG until morning. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…

click here for the betting on the 2.20 Ayr

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

Your first 30 days for just £1
0 replies

Leave a Reply

Want to join the discussion?
Feel free to contribute!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *