Sat TV Trends: 19th Oct 2019

More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 20th October – and what a day in prospect! A top card at Ascot for Champions Day that sees four Group Ones, a Group Two and a super-competitive handicap. Bundles to look forward to and as always, we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these key trends to find the best profiles of past winners.

Good Luck!

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.35 – Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

16/17 – Won over 6f previously
16/17 – Won at least 3 times previously
15/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
15/17 –  Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/17 – Raced at least 4 times that season
14/17 – Won at Listed or better class previously
13/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/17 – Raced at Ascot previously (3 won)
12/17 – Finished in the top 4 in their latest race
12/17 – Won a Group race previously
10/17 – Favourites placed
11/17 – Raced at Haydock (6), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (3) last time out
4/17 – Won their latest race
4/17 – Favourites that won
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan (2 of the last 4)
Sands Of Mali (28/1) won the race in 2018
Librisa Breeze (10/1) won the race in 2017
The Tin Man (13/2) won the race in 2016
Since 2011: 4 of the last 8 winners have come from stalls 12 (2) or 14 (2)
Since 2011: 5 of the last 8 winners came from double-figure stalls
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 12 placed 5 of the last 8 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 14 placed 4 of the last 8 runnings

The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

2.10 – Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

11/11 – Raced 3 or more times that season
10/11 – Won at Listed or better class previously
9/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
9/11 – Won at least 3 times previously
9/11 – Raced within the last 9 weeks
8/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/11 – Won over 1m4f previously
8/11 – Returned between 4/1 and 6/1
8/11 – Rated 110 or higher
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Aged 3 years-old
5/11 – Won their last race
4/11 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/11 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/11 – Favourites that won
2/11 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (last 2 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
Magical (5/1) won the race 12 months ago
3 of the last 10 winners came from stall 2

Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket

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2.45 – Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m ITV

14/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/17 – Won at Listed or better class previously
14/17 – Winning distance – 1 1/2 lengths or less
12/17 – Aged 5 or older
12/17 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
12/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat previously
12/17 – Won at least 5 times previously
11/17 – Raced at least 5 times that season
8/17 – Raced at Longchamp (3), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (3) last time out
8/17 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
8/17 – Won their latest race
5/17 – Irish-trained winners
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of the last 4)
2/17 – Trained by Dermot Weld
2/17 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 4)
Stradivarius (Evs fav) won the race in 2018
Since 2011: 5 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 7 have been placed in 4 of the last 7
The average winning odds in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

3.20 – Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

17/17 – Raced at least 3 times that season
16/17 – Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
16/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
16/17 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
15/17 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
15/17 – Finished in the top three in their last race
14/17 – Favourites placed
13/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/17 – Raced at Ascot previously (6 won)
9/17 – Won their latest race
9/17 – Won at least 7 times previously
8/17 – Favourites that won
7/17 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Trained by Freddie Head
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 2 and 7 have won 4 of the last 8 runnings

Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

4.00 – Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f ITV

17/17 – Won at least 4 times previously
16/17 – Won between 4 and 8 times previously
16/17 – Aged 5 or younger
16/17 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
15/17 – Won over 1m2f previously
15/17 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
13/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/17 – Raced 5 or more times that season
10/17 – Won their last race
7/17 – Raced at either Longchamp (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/17 – Favourites unplaced
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price
5/17 – Favourites
4/17 – Won by a French-based trainer
3/17 – Ridden by Tom Queally
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (last 2)
2/17 – Trained by John Gosden (last 2)
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
Since 2011: Horses from stall 5 have won 2 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

4.40 – Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m ITV

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Winners drawn 10 or lower
4/5 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-5 in weight
4/5 – Winners ran at Newmarket last time out
4/5 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Previous winners were aged 5 years-old
1/5 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 10/1
Sharja Bridge (8/1) won this race in 2018
Trainers Roger Varian, David O’Meara, Roger Charlton, Saeed Bin Suroor and Marcus Tregoning have won the race in the past
Horses from stalls 12 or 13 have been placed in 3 of the last 4 runnings

 

 

 

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