Stat of the Day, 19th October 2019
Friday’s pick was…
8.25 Wolverhampton : Charlie D @ 3/1 BOG YET TO RUN th at ()
Saturday’s pick runs in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Who?
Pushaq @ 10/1 BOG
…in a 13-runner, Class 6, A/W Handicap for 3yo+ over 1m½f on Tapeta worth £2,782 to the winner…
Why?…
Matt here, covering for Chris for a week or so while he recharges his batteries, and I’ll kick off with a rare each way play.
Pushaq is a bit of a specialist at Dunstall Park, hitting the frame in seven of his eight (87.5%, +13.04 to 1 point e/w bets) career visits to the track. He’s won two of them and, since switching to Irish trainer Anthony McCann, has a form string of 223 over course and distance, as well as a win over a furlong further. (That last point may be significant with the track being harrowed on Friday, meaning it will likely ride more testing).
Trainer McCann and jockey Shane W Kelly have combined to good effect in Wolverhampton handicaps, not just with Pushaq but generally. Indeed, they’re 4/11 (one further place, +30.75, A/E 2.65). The winners have come at odds of 7/4, 10/1 twice and 16/1, so the price doesn’t put me off.
Drawn wide in 11, Pushaq is versatile as regards pace; though with only a couple likely to step forward inside him, I’d expect he’ll race prominently. That run style has seen him finish 2nd-1st-2nd here, all over course and distance…
…giving us… a rare 1/2pt each way bet on Pushaq @ 10/1 BOG as was offered by bet365 (Hills 12/1) at 5.20pm on Friday, but to see what your preferred bookie is quoting…
…click here for the betting on the 5.05 Wolverhampton
Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!
REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!
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