It’s showtime again! Breeders’ Cup 2019, the 36th edition, returns to its favourite venue, Santa Anita, on the left coast of America. At the foot of the San Gabriel mountains, we can expect autumnal sunshine and extremely high class racing.
Over two days, Friday 1st and Saturday 2nd November, Breeders’ Cup XXXVI (or just plain ’36’) will comprise fourteen Championship races. The slightly lop-sided split has five races on Friday and nine (yes, nine!) on Saturday, culminating with the Breeders’ Cup Classic.
There will be the usual liberal spread of British, Irish and wider European interest, headed by a typically strong Aidan O’Brien team; and, while some of those will be expected to win, it is worth remembering that shocks frequently abound on Breeders’ Cup weekend. Of course, those of us in the know look beyond the obvious and frequently side with the locals, such as 33/1 Shamrock Rose last year.
SO HOW DO YOU GET IN THE KNOW?
I’m glad you asked! With my Breeders’ Cup Compendium, of course. It’s a treasure trove of facts, figures, opinions and tips. Inside you’ll find:
Key Race Trends: all the noteworthy trends for each event.
Profile Grids: every runner in every race mapped against the trends, including pace and odds (UK vs US morning line with a comparison to highlight possible value). This will be updated with stalls positions and final fields after the draw on 28th October.
Pace Profiles: each race is broken down by the likely overall pace, pockets of pace (i.e. clusters of speed), and individual pace observations for specific runners.
Race videos: A link to the glorious high definition race replays can be found here.
Race Summaries: a walkthrough of the form for each race, highlighting the major players.
Trends Contenders, Form Contenders, Other Possibles, and Race Selections: the horses in each race I feel are most likely to play leading roles based on form and/or trends; and, where applicable, some bigger priced horses that could outrun their odds. Finally, for each race, a trend and a form selection.
In my opinion, the best use of the Breeders’ Cup Compendium is to look through the trends and race replays and trust your own judgement. You’ll get a nice price about pretty much any horse you like, so it’s worth chancing your arm. Of course, if you’d rather follow me in, you can do that. Two years ago, I had a difficult time of it; last year was ‘lashings of gravy’. It can be that sort of meeting!
I’m comfortable backing plenty of longshots at a festival which is deep on talent, but it is possible to go a fair time between drinks with such an approach (as anyone who has waded through Royal Ascot and / or the Cheltenham Festival can attest).
So it’s up to you. Go it alone, or follow me; or do a bit of both. Your call. But what is for sure is that with this guide you’ll be better informed than 99.9%* of punters in Britain.
(*figure made up, literally, on the spot, but probably very close to the mark)
Breeders’ Cup Compendium 2019
If you want a heads up on Breeders’ Cup, this is the guide for you…
HERE’S THE RELEASE SCHEDULE
My Breeders’ Cup Compendium will be released in phases, mirroring the release of pre-entries, the post position draw, and the eve of the event. Here’s how that looks:
Saturday 26th October – FREE TRENDS GUIDE v0.1 pre-entries into trends grids, all odds updated
Tuesday 29th October (evening) – v0.2 final fields and draw positions into trends grids, all odds updated
Thursday 31st October (evening) – v0.3 Friday complete and Saturday main races complete
Friday 1st November (evening) – v1.0 All races complete
You’ll be able to grab the updated versions once you’ve secured access to the download page.
HOW TO GET INVOLVED
Look, I know there’s a lot of free content on the Breeders’ Cup and, well, just about everything else. And I’ve pitching in by making the trends sections free to download. But this report takes me over 100 hours to compile. I shouldn’t do it because it’s a dreadful use of my time!
But I love the meeting and, to be honest, it’s the one week in the year where I get a chance to really drill down into the form, and to do it from an almost completely clean slate. So there is a small charge if you’d like to access the full 2019 version of my Breeders’ Cup Compendium.
The Breeders’ Cup Compendium 2019 costs £14, that’s £1 per race.
For a full rundown of all you could ever need to know about each event.
As I say, it takes me about 120 hours to pull the Compendium together. When the results go our way, that’s vindication enough, but the same amount of energy and effort goes into the publication when things go against us, too. Anyone can give you the name of a horse and be lucky or not; what you have here is hand-cranked hard labour win, lose or draw.
For value hunters, getting in early is the way forward. Bookies are a bit ‘left and right’ at the moment, and I’ve already struck a few ante-post tickets taking advantage of some glorious disparity in their markets. These will tighten up as we get closer to post time and, naturally, as there is more certainty around the likely runners, post positions, and so on.
The first release of the Breeders’ Cup Compendium is available now for just £14 – sign up below:
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