Stat of the Day, 29th November 2019

Thursday’s pick was…

1.20 Lingfield : Colonel Whitehead @ 9/2 BOG 10th at 11/8 (In touch, pushed along halfway, hit rail entering final 2f, soon weakened)

Friday’s pick runs in the…

3.10 Southwell :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

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Queen Of Kalahari @ 11/4 BOG

…in an 8-runner, Class 5, A/W Handicap over 6f on Fibresand worth £3,429 to the winner…

Why?

Follow a filly in form is how the saying goes, and it is actually one of the less ridiculous racing maxims.

This filly has won her last three, of five, Southwell starts, all over this six-furlong trip. Her full Southwell 6f string reads 2111.

Trainer Les Eyre is also in fine fettle. While his record at Southwell in recent times is clearly enhanced by today’s SotD’s efforts, he has been hitting the target elsewhere, too. His eight runners in the past month were 51032331. Six of Eyre’s runners at Southwell in the past year have won or placed (A/E 2.15, IV 2.99).

Indeed he seems to be a bit of a dab hand with sprinting fillies: since 1st January 2017, he’s won 11 of 49 handicaps at six furlongs or shorter (6 more placed) with fillies/mares for a profit at SP of +45.13 (A/E 1.88).

Jockey Lewis Edmunds is Les Eyre’s go to rider and, when the pair have teamed up in the past year, they’ve won 9/39 (23.08%) for +20.63 (A/E 2.24, IV 2.22).

Queen Of Kalahari is on a course and distance four-timer and, back to her beloved fibresand after a fair foray on the straight track at Newcastle last time, looks very well suited to conditions for in-form connections…

all pointing towards…a 1pt win bet on Queen Of Kalahari @ 11/4 BOG as was widely available at 5.40pm on Thursday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…

click here for the betting on the 3.10 Southwell

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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