Sat TV Trends: 7th Dec 2019

Another massive Saturday of NH jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Sandown and Aintree, with the Tingle Creek Chase and Becher Chase the feature contests – As always, we’ve got all the big-race trends and stats for all the LIVE races.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


1.50 – Read Road To Cheltenham At racingtv.com Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
15/16 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
15/16 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
14/16 – French (10) or Irish (4) bred
13/16 – Won last time out
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (4) last time out
10/16 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
10/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (2 winners)
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/16 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
2/16 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1

 

2.25 – Jumeirah Hotels And Resorts December Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f216y ITV4

15/16 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
14/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/16 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
13/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
11/16 – Carried 10-13 or less
10/16 – Rated between 116-128
9/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
4/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
9 of the last 10 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
Man Of Plenty (8/1) won this race in 2018

3.00 – Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Aged 9 or younger
15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Had won a Grade One chase before
14/17 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
13/17 – Officially rated 165 or higher
13/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
13/17 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
12/17 – French bred
12/17 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/17 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
10/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
10/17 – Won last time out
9/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
9/17 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
6/17 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Altior, Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
3/17 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
1/17 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

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3.35 – Betfair London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y ITV4

14/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Aged 7 or older
14/15 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
14/15 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
13/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Rated 126 or higher
12/15 – Aged 8 or older
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Unplaced favourites
10/15 – Irish bred
9/15 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
8/15 – Carried 11-0 or more
5/15 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Towcester (2) last time out
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/15 – Trained by Tom George
1/15 – Winning favourites
Morney Wing (12/1) won this race in 2018

 

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.30 – Randox Health Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

14/17 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
13/17 – Carried 10-12 or less
13/17 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/17 – Had no more than 1 start that season
12/17 – Officially rated between 123-138
12/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/17 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
11/17 – Irish-bred winners
11/17 – Aged 9 or older
11/17 – Had raced at Aintree before
10/17 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/17 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
7/17 – Placed favourites
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Irish-trained winners
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/17 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/17 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Walk In The Mill won the race in 2018
Blaklion won the race in 2017

 

2.05 – Download The App At Virgin Bet Fillies’ Juvenile Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (3Yyo) 2m1f ITV4

Just 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/7 – Won between 0-1 times over hurdles
6/7 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/7 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Winning distance 8 or more lengths
6/7 – Carried 10-12 in weight
4/7 – Winning favourites
3/7 – Irish-trained winners
3/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Trained by Alan King
2/7 – Trained by Gavin Cromwell

 

2.40 – Virgin Bet Price Boasts Many Clouds Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m1f ITV4

Just 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Aged 8 or younger
5/8 – Winning favourites
Definitly Red won the race in 2017 and 2018
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 & 2014
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2011

3.15 – Virgin Bet Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

13/14 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
12/14 – Aged 8 or older
12/14 – Rated 124 or more
11/14 – Had run at Aintree before (4 over the GN style fences)
more
10/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
9/14 – Carried 10-12 or more
9/14 – Irish bred
6/14 – Returned a double-figure price
6/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (5th & 7th)
1/14 – Won last time out
10 of the last 13 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

 

 

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