Stat of the Day, 17th December 2019

Monday’s pick was…

12.30 Ffos Las : Out The Glen @ 10/3 WON at 3/1 (Mid-division, headway and in touch 3rd, went 2nd 4 out, led going best before 2 out, ridden between last 2, kept on well to win by the best part of 2 lengths)

Tuesday’s pick runs in the…

2,55 Catterick :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Maxed Out King @ 5/2 BOG

…in an 8-runner, Class 4, Handicap Chase for 4yo+ over 1m7½f on good to soft ground worth £6,758 to the winner…

Why?…

Going to keep it nice and simple today with an 11 yr old gelding who still seems full of life, having won last time out with a bit to spare despite a mistake at the last over at fairly nearby Sedgefield on soft ground three weeks ago.

That win took his record over fences to 4 from 11, which is decent at this level and includes of relevance today…

• 4/10 (40%) going left handed & 4/8 (50%) under jockey Danny Cook
• 3/8 (37.5%) at Class 4 & 3/8 (37.5%) on Good to Soft/Soft ground
• 3/6 (50%) in November/December & 3/5 (60%) at odds below 4/1
• 4/4 (75%) within 3 weeks of his last run & 2/5 (40%) at trips shorter than 17f
• and 2 from 4 (50%) in December…

…whilst his trainer Sue Smith is 22 from 50 (44%) with chasers here at Catterick over the last 6 years with a £10 level stake on all 50 yielding a profit of £685.30 or 137.1% of stakes invested. This highly impressive record includes…

• 13/30 (43.3%) for 39.7pts (+132.2%) with Danny Cook in the saddle
• 9/21 (42.9%) for 29.61pts (+141%) at Class 4
• and 4/4 (100%) for 6.57pts (+164.4%) with LTO winners…

…all of which is enough to support…a 1pt win bet on Maxed Out King @ 5/2 BOG as was quite widely available at 5.05pm on Monday. Do use BOG if possible, as this one might drift a little, but to see what your preferred bookie is quoting later…

…click here for the betting on the 2.55 Catterick

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!