Stat of the Day, 17th January 2020

Thursday’s pick was…

1.10 Market Rasen : Oscar’s Leader @ 7/2 BOG 5th at 15/8 (Tracked leaders, ridden and weakened before last)

Friday’s pick runs in the…

6.45 Newcastle :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

She’s Easyontheeye @ 4/1 BOG

…in a 7-runner, Class 6, A/W Handicap for 3yo over 5f on Tapeta worth £2,782 to the winner…

Why?

This 3 yr old filly isn’t an obvious pick on form, but she has been well rested (12 weeks) ahead of returning in the type of contest her trainer does well in.

Taking a fairly pared-back simple approach today, my way in is that John (JJ) Quinn + Newcastle A/W hcps + 5-8 furlongs + Evens to 8/1 = 10 from 43 (23.3% SR) for 25.2pts (+58.5% ROI) over the last three years, including at play today…

  • 9/30 (30%) for 34.5pts (+115.1%) in fields of 6-12 runners
  • 8/34 (23.5%) for 25.4pts (+74.6%) in races worth less than £4k
  • 8/21 (38.1%) for 37.4pts (+178.1%) during December to April
  • 6/27 (22.2%) for 18.1pts (+66.9%) at Class 6
  • 6/21 (28.6%) for 27.9pts (+132.8%) from those unplaced LTO
  • and 3/5 (60%) for 15.6pts (+312%) from those returning from a break of more than 75 days…

…whilst Class 6 runners competing against 6-11 rivals for less than £4,000 during December to April are 4 from 11 (36.4% SR) for 24.3pts (+221.2% ROI)…

…pointing to...a 1pt win bet on She’s Easyontheeye @ 4/1 BOG as was offered by Bet365, BetVictor & Hills at 8.00am Friday morning and was widely available by 8.35am (but please check your BOG status first). To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…

click here for the betting on the 6.45 Newcastle

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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