Friday’s pick was…
5.15 Wolverhampton : Klopp @ 7/2 BOG non-runner (Withdrawn at 3.30pm, Self Cert as Lame)
Saturday’s pick runs in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Petite Jack @ 9/2 BOG
…in a 7-runner, Class 3, A/W Handicap for 4yo+ over 1m4f on Polytrack worth £7,246 to the winner…
There’s no doubting that this 7yr old gelding is regarded as a “quirky, unreliable sort”, but it’s equally undeniable that he’s (a) talented and (b) a lover of this track. And it’s his record here allied to what looks a good price that made him of interest today.
Last seen a week ago, winning again here over course and distance at a higher grade under today’s jockey Ben Curtis, he stayed on well to win by half a length and although he’s up in weight by 2lbs, the drop down to Class 3 should help him attempt to improve an already excellent record on the Polytrack here at Lingfield.
That record currently stands at 8 wins from 20 (40% SR) for 76.8pts (+384% ROI), which is very impressive overall and even more if you consider that under today’s conditions, he is…
- 7/14 (50%) for 77.42pts (+553% ROI) for trainer Neil King
- 7/12 (58.3%) for 28pts (+233.2%) at 8/1 or shorter
- 6/10 (60%) for 24.61pts (+246.1%) in handicaps
- 6/7 (85.7%) for 73.67pts (+1052.4%) in races worth less than £8,000 to the winner
- 5/9 (55.6%) for 71.25pts (+791.7%) in fields of 7-9 runners
- 5/9 (55.6%) for 14.16pts (+157.4%) over this 1m4f course and distance
- 5/8 (62.5%) for 9.79pts (+122.4%) after a top 2 finish LTO
- 4/9 (44.4%) for 67.56pts (+750.7%) within 25 days of his last run
- 2/3 (66.6%) for 3.05pts (+101.7%) at Class 3
- and 2/3 (66.6%) for 10.43pts (+347.6%) in January…
…and when sent off at odds of 8/1 or shorter for Neil King in an A/W handicap worth less than £8,000 here at Lingfield, Petite Jack has won all five starts, generating 18.87pts profit for his followers at an ROI of some 377.4% and this fairly simplistic approach today…
…is the basis for...a 1pt win bet on Petite Jack @ 9/2 BOG as was widely available at 8.20am Saturday morning (but please check your BOG status first). To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…
Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!
REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!