Stat of the Day, 10th March 2018

Friday’s Runner was…

3.25 Ayr : Charmant @ 3/1 BOG 4th at 9/4 Tracked leader, challenged 3 out, every chance 2 out, no extra from last.

And now we turn to Saturday’s…

1.20 Sandown :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

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Eragon de Chanay @ 3/1 BOG

A Class 3, 2m juvenile handicap hurdle (4yo) on soft ground worth £6,498 to the winner…

Why?

Just four runs to date for this four year old, but he was placed at Class 2 and won at Class 4, before being fairly well beaten in two Gr 2 contests, but there’s no disgrace in that and he now takes a considerable drop back in class today for his handicap debut.

His trainer Gary Moore is 25 from 170 (14.7% SR) for 111.8pts (+65.8% ROI) since the start of 2013, including…

  • males at 23/155 (14.8%) for 118.1pts (+76.2%)
  • over trips of 1m7.5f to 2m4f : 23/108 (21.3%) for 154.2pts (+142.8%)
  • over hurdles : 12/80 (15%) for 96.4pts (+120.5pts)
  • ridden by Jamie Moore : 15/65 (23.1%) for 35.9pts (+55.3%)
  • at Class 3 : 9/52 (17.3%) for 60.8pts (+116.9%)
  • on Soft ground : 7/48 (14.6%) for 34.1pts (+71%)
  • in Juvenile races : 5/19 (26.3%) for 45pts (+236.9%)
  • in March : 4/19 (21.1%) for 31.1pts (+163.9%)
  • and those ridden by Jamie Moore in juvenile races are 4/12 (33.3%) for 20.4pts (+169.7%)

Furthermore, Gary’s NH handicap debutants are 8 from 55 (14.6% SR) for 35.2pts (+64.1% ROI) since the start of 2014 .

And finally for today, 3-5 yr old hurdlers sired by Racinger are 5 from 14 (35.7% SR) for 2.02pts (+20.9% ROI) when sent off at odds of 4/1 and shorter over trips of 2m/2m0.5f.

…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Eragon de Chanay @ 3/1 BOG which was widely available at 7.55pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 1.20 Sandown

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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